Bank of England may ‘need to start turning off the tap’ of QE as the economy is going ‘gang-busters’ and inflation is rising
The outgoing chief economist of the Bank of England, Andy Haldane, has said that the UK economy may need less monetary support as it’s is going ‘gang-busters’ and inflation pressures are rising.
Haldane, said that from petrol and diesel to timber and cement, it was ‘hard to find anything whose price isn’t going up at the moment’.
Wages are also starting to rise, he said, but they need to rise further, and enough well-paid jobs also need to be created to get the economy moving and people off the furlough support and back into the world of work.
he also said that the current strong economic rebound meant that inflation may rocket, and the Bank of England should at some point begin to unwind its monetary support to stop it from doing so.
‘If both pay and costs are picking up, inflation on the high street isn’t very far behind…. that may mean that at some stage we need to start turning off the tap when it comes to the monetary policy support we’ve been providing over the Covid crisis’.
Haldane has been bullish about the UK economic recovery, saying it would bounce back like a ‘coiled spring’ after people rushed back to pubs, shops, hairdressers and gyms. Last month, he predicted that he economy will grow at its fastest since World War II.
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June 21, 2021
To kick off this week we had GBPJPY trade down to its lowest point since early May at 151.50. However we have seen a solid bounce in the pair back up to the 152.00 level, and this seems to be off the back of USDJPY moving higher, from rising US 10yr yields. So I have […]
June 17, 2021
Earlier this week we saw strong CPI numbers come out of the UK, however this was quickly overshadowed by the FED last night as they released some surprisingly hawkish comments towards tapering. This caused a correction in the USD and drove its crosses lower, with cable now trading around the 1.3940 level. In turn this […]
June 14, 2021
Once again we are coming off another fairly quiet week in the FX market, which seems to be the trend as of late. We have seen Boris Johnson announce a months delay to the full lifting of lockdown restrictions. This seemed to be priced in for sterling as we have not seen a whole lot […]
June 7, 2021
We are coming of a fairly quiet week for markets last week, with slightly weaker NFP numbers coming in on Friday. In my opinion I see these figures putting further pressure on the USD as we head into next week. We saw the support in cable hold at 1.4090 hold and now bounce back up […]
June 3, 2021
We have seen a fairly quiet start to the week, as we are coming off a bank holiday weekend here in the UK. It reflected in my GBPJPY trade which started off quiet, however sterling crosses have seen a slight fall over the last 24 hours. As we saw cable suffer to break through that […]
May 27, 2021
We have not seen too much come out in terms of data so far this week, however my long of GBPJPY has started to come into effect this afternoon. After a fairly quiet start to the week in the pair, its now starting to rise sharply to last weeks highs of 154.80. One of the […]
May 24, 2021
Last Friday we saw a very interesting end to the week, as UK PMI and Retail Sales were both strong beating out consensus. However Lagarde’s comments in the afternoon seemed to prevent any further rise in sterling as we went into the weekend. Maurice highlighted how doses of our vaccination jabs could be effective against […]
May 17, 2021
Once again the week closed with further poor data coming out of the US, as we saw both Retail Sales and the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index looking significantly weaker. This led to a further fall in the USD against most G10 currencies including the EUR and GBP, which both posted gains across the week. Cable […]
May 13, 2021
Yesterday we saw some strong US CPI figures come out, causing a harsh fall off in EURUSD down to 1.2050 level. In turn this led to me being stopped out of my long around the 1.2085 handle for a small loss. As mentioned frequently in the SNPMO webinar CPI is data that looks forward, so […]
May 10, 2021
Last Sunday saw another great Sunday Night webinar presented by our mentors, which pointed out a couple key themes that I will be keeping an eye on throughout this week. The big shock last week was how weak Nonfarm Payrolls were and slight increase in the US unemployment rate to 6.1%. Off the back of […]
May 3, 2021
Last Sunday saw another great Sunday Night webinar presented by our mentors, which pointed out a couple key themes that I will be keeping an eye on throughout this week. We saw a strong drop off in EURUSD last Friday, however Maurice highlighted this was most likely due to month end fixes. So far this […]